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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2008 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
92.0 |
95.0 |
103.7 |
109.0 |
123.0 |
132.0 |
133.0 |
113.0 |
98.0 |
72.0 |
53.0 |
40.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.2 |
6.6 |
9.1 |
11.8 |
12.8 |
9.9 |
7.8 |
8.7 |
12.7 |
10.3 |
9.5 |
8.6 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
755 |
765 |
746 |
702 |
617 |
565 |
698 |
809 |
823 |
895 |
799 |
576 |
2.45 |
2.43 |
2.28 |
2.19 |
2.19 |
2.17 |
2.07 |
2.19 |
2.35 |
2.70 |
2.92 |
2.97 |
3.61 |
3.58 |
3.54 |
3.45 |
3.41 |
3.38 |
3.26 |
3.29 |
3.37 |
3.59 |
3.72 |
4.02 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2008 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
97.0 |
121.0 |
115.0 |
56.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.5 |
11.4 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
756 |
627 |
779 |
783 |
2.39 |
2.18 |
2.20 |
2.86 |
3.58 |
3.41 |
3.31 |
3.78 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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