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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2009 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
44.0 |
43.0 |
47.0 |
50.0 |
57.0 |
68.0 |
65.0 |
73.0 |
67.0 |
73.0 |
77.0 |
74.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
7.7 |
6.2 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
485 |
483 |
533 |
516 |
490 |
454 |
564 |
559 |
690 |
643 |
571 |
566 |
3.17 |
3.63 |
3.54 |
3.35 |
3.23 |
3.21 |
3.06 |
2.90 |
2.86 |
2.85 |
2.80 |
2.83 |
4.22 |
4.64 |
4.62 |
4.42 |
4.41 |
4.51 |
4.31 |
4.13 |
4.16 |
4.22 |
4.17 |
4.14 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2009 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
44.0 |
59.0 |
68.0 |
75.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
500 |
487 |
601 |
600 |
3.45 |
3.27 |
2.94 |
2.82 |
4.50 |
4.45 |
4.20 |
4.17 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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