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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2011 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
96.5 |
103.8 |
114.5 |
123.5 |
114.4 |
114.0 |
116.9 |
110.4 |
113.1 |
109.4 |
110.7 |
107.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
1.8 |
5.0 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
726 |
757 |
772 |
765 |
821 |
807 |
678 |
675 |
639 |
641 |
614 |
573 |
2.92 |
2.88 |
2.87 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
2.76 |
2.80 |
2.87 |
3.15 |
3.18 |
3.27 |
3.40 |
3.89 |
3.93 |
4.02 |
3.97 |
3.94 |
3.97 |
3.99 |
4.12 |
4.34 |
4.36 |
4.43 |
4.48 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2011 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
105.4 |
117.0 |
113.4 |
109.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
751 |
795 |
663 |
609 |
2.88 |
2.75 |
2.94 |
3.28 |
3.95 |
3.96 |
4.15 |
4.42 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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