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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2014 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
108.3 |
108.9 |
107.6 |
107.6 |
109.6 |
111.7 |
106.6 |
101.6 |
97.3 |
87.4 |
78.9 |
62.5 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
9.5 |
11.6 |
9.5 |
10.3 |
12.4 |
13.2 |
13.1 |
12.7 |
13.2 |
11.9 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
5.7 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
6.1 |
7.6 |
5.9 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
762 |
753 |
751 |
746 |
740 |
736 |
782 |
807 |
750 |
835 |
830 |
871 |
3.07 |
3.06 |
3.04 |
3.03 |
3.04 |
3.04 |
3.06 |
3.15 |
3.25 |
3.32 |
3.38 |
3.42 |
4.18 |
4.18 |
4.20 |
4.19 |
4.18 |
4.14 |
4.15 |
4.19 |
4.19 |
4.21 |
4.21 |
4.21 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2014 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
108.2 |
109.6 |
101.9 |
76.6 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
12.9 |
12.6 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
756 |
741 |
782 |
844 |
3.06 |
3.04 |
3.15 |
3.37 |
4.19 |
4.17 |
4.18 |
4.21 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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