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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2015 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
47.9 |
58.1 |
55.9 |
59.8 |
64.3 |
61.7 |
56.5 |
46.6 |
47.6 |
48.6 |
44.3 |
38.2 |
12.6 |
11.0 |
14.1 |
13.8 |
14.7 |
16.7 |
16.2 |
17.2 |
13.2 |
11.1 |
13.5 |
11.2 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
11.4 |
10.6 |
10.4 |
12.5 |
12.2 |
12.8 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
10.1 |
7.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
821 |
654 |
764 |
925 |
1042 |
1137 |
1181 |
1147 |
1017 |
937 |
949 |
1015 |
3.69 |
3.68 |
3.81 |
3.73 |
3.66 |
3.71 |
3.78 |
3.77 |
3.75 |
3.78 |
3.96 |
3.95 |
4.28 |
4.18 |
4.13 |
4.02 |
4.08 |
4.16 |
4.16 |
4.19 |
4.22 |
4.25 |
4.25 |
4.29 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2015 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
53.9 |
61.9 |
50.5 |
43.8 |
12.6 |
15.1 |
15.5 |
12.0 |
9.2 |
11.3 |
11.4 |
8.2 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
746 |
1036 |
1113 |
959 |
3.73 |
3.70 |
3.77 |
3.89 |
4.19 |
4.09 |
4.19 |
4.26 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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