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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2017 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
54.7 |
55.1 |
51.6 |
52.5 |
50.4 |
46.5 |
48.6 |
51.6 |
56.0 |
57.4 |
62.6 |
64.2 |
11.1 |
12.3 |
12.8 |
13.8 |
13.3 |
13.8 |
13.4 |
13.5 |
14.8 |
12.9 |
11.5 |
10.0 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
9.0 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
8.6 |
9.8 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
4.3 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
855 |
915 |
1001 |
1008 |
1017 |
988 |
920 |
903 |
910 |
925 |
875 |
870 |
4.11 |
4.05 |
4.02 |
3.96 |
3.80 |
3.75 |
3.68 |
3.61 |
3.58 |
3.63 |
3.60 |
3.55 |
4.37 |
4.31 |
4.29 |
4.24 |
4.20 |
4.21 |
4.24 |
4.27 |
4.27 |
4.27 |
4.23 |
4.20 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2017 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
53.7 |
49.6 |
52.1 |
61.3 |
12.1 |
13.6 |
13.9 |
11.5 |
7.4 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
6.2 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
930 |
1003 |
911 |
890 |
4.06 |
3.83 |
3.63 |
3.60 |
4.32 |
4.22 |
4.26 |
4.23 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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