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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2010 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
76.0 |
74.0 |
79.0 |
85.0 |
75.0 |
75.0 |
76.0 |
77.0 |
78.0 |
82.7 |
85.0 |
91.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3.7 |
5.0 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
7.6 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
579 |
661 |
652 |
685 |
729 |
757 |
793 |
738 |
721 |
687 |
664 |
634 |
2.85 |
2.93 |
2.87 |
2.86 |
3.24 |
3.36 |
3.20 |
3.09 |
3.03 |
2.85 |
2.89 |
3.02 |
4.07 |
4.01 |
3.89 |
3.87 |
4.06 |
4.10 |
4.08 |
3.99 |
3.96 |
3.95 |
3.95 |
4.00 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2010 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
76.0 |
78.0 |
77.0 |
86.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.4 |
6.5 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
629 |
721 |
753 |
667 |
2.87 |
3.16 |
3.10 |
2.92 |
3.86 |
4.01 |
4.01 |
3.97 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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