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Zawartość – urządzenia standardowe
Select year:
Macroeconomic data – average: 2012 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
January |
February |
March |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
October |
November |
December |
110.6 |
119.6 |
125.3 |
119.5 |
110.2 |
94.8 |
102.6 |
113.4 |
112.9 |
111.6 |
109.1 |
109.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5.6 |
2.6 |
5.4 |
9.6 |
6.8 |
10.6 |
7.9 |
7.6 |
12.2 |
8.8 |
4.7 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
529 |
607 |
700 |
765 |
819 |
740 |
536 |
594 |
752 |
751 |
719 |
716 |
3.39 |
3.16 |
3.13 |
3.17 |
3.38 |
3.43 |
3.41 |
3.30 |
3.22 |
3.17 |
3.22 |
3.12 |
4.38 |
4.18 |
4.14 |
4.18 |
4.31 |
4.30 |
4.19 |
4.09 |
4.14 |
4.11 |
4.13 |
4.10 |
Macroeconomic data – average: 2012 |
unit |
Brent crude oil price |
$/b |
Model downstream margin1
|
$/b |
Model refining margin2 + Brent/URAL differential
|
$/b |
of which: Brent/URAL differential3
|
$/b |
Model petrochemical margin4
|
EUR/t |
USD / PLN5
|
PLN |
EUR / PLN5
|
PLN |
Q1 |
Q2 |
Q3 |
Q4 |
118.6 |
108.3 |
109.5 |
110.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.6 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
5.5 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
618 |
772 |
625 |
729 |
3.23 |
3.33 |
3.31 |
3.17 |
4.23 |
4.26 |
4.14 |
4.11 |
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1) Model downstream margin = revenues (90,7% Products = 22,8% Gasoline + 44,2% Diesel + 15,3% HHO + 1,0% SN 150 + 2,9% Ethylene + 2,1% Propylene + 1,2% Benzene + 1,2% PX) – costs (input 100% = 6,5% Brent crude oil + 91,1% URAL crude oil + 2,4% natural gas)
2) Model refining margin = revenues (93,5% Products = 36% Gasoline + 43% Diesel + 14,5% HHO) - costs (100% input = crude oil and other raw materials). Total input calculated acc. to Brent crude quotations. Spot market quotations.
3) Spread Ural Rdam vs fwd Brent Dtd = Med Strip - Ural Rdam (Ural CIF Rotterdam)
4) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (98% Products = 44% HDPE + 7% LDPE + 35% PP Homo + 12% PP Copo) - costs (100% input = 75% Naphtha + 25% LS VGO). Contract market quotations.
5) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland
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