INVESTOR RELATIONS

Macro data

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Macroeconomic data – average: 2025 unit Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec FY
Brent crude oil price USD/bbl 79.2 75.2 72.6 67.8 64.2 71.5       .      
Model refining margin (1) USD/bbl 7.4 10.3 8.4 9.6 12.3 11.9              
Differential (2) USD/bbl 0.8 0.7 -0.7 -0.3 -1.5 -1.7              
Model petrochemical margin (3) EUR/t 104 138 195 229 184 163              
Natural gas price TTF month-ahead PLN/MWh 205 209 174 149 150 156              
Natural gas price TGEgasDA PLN/MWh 225 240 193 162 167 177              
Electricity price TGeBase PLN/MWh 501 560 414 358 403 353              
USD / PLN (4) PLN 4.10 4.01 3.87 3.81 3.77 3.70              
EUR / PLN (4) PLN 4.25 4.17 4.18 4.27 4.25 4.26              
Macroeconomic data – average: 2025 unit 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY
Brent crude oil price USD/bbl 75.7 67.9      
Model refining margin (1)

USD/bbl

8.7 11.3      
Differential (2)

USD/bbl

0.2 -1.2      
Model petrochemical margin (3) EUR/t 145 192      
Natural gas price TTF month-ahead PLN/MWh 196 152      
Natural gas price TGEgasDA PLN/MWh 219 169      
Electricity price TGeBase PLN/MWh 490 372      
USD / PLN (4) PLN 3.99 3.76      
EUR / PLN (4) PLN 4.20 4.26      

(1) Model refining margin = revenues (33% Gasoline + 48% Diesel + 13% HHO) – costs (98% Brent crude oil + 2% Natural gas). Spot quotations.

(2) Differential calculated on the real share of processed crude oils. Spot quotations. 

(3) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (25% HDPE [Spot] + 16% PP Homo [Spot] + 9% Ethylene [contract] + 7% Toluene [contract] +14% Benzene [contract]) – costs (75% Naphtha + 13% HHO + 13% LPG [Spot]) - 6% CO2 costs [EUA]

(4) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland.