INVESTOR RELATIONS

Macro data

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Macroeconomic data – average: 2024 unit Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec FY
Brent crude oil price USD/bbl 80.3 83.9 85.5 90.2 82.0 82.6 85.3 80.9 74.3 75.7 74.5 73.9 80.8
Model refining margin (1) USD/bbl 13.9 17.3 16.8 13 13.2 11.5 10.3 7.2 5.5 8.0 7.3 7.8 11.0
Differential (2) USD/bbl -1.1 0.4 1.2 -0.2 -1.0 -1.7 -1.3 -1.6 -0.3 0.5 1.2 0.9 -0.2
Model petrochemical margin (3) EUR/t 150 222 259 262 251 218 178 205 220 136 145 131 197
Natural gas price TTF month-ahead PLN/MWh 130 111 115 125 137 149 139 165 154 174 193 193 149
Natural gas price TGEgasDA PLN/MWh 159 131 136 136 151 167 158 181 178 198 218 219 170
Electricity price TGeBase PLN/MWh 410 334 321 347 375 471 468 425 411 439 534 448 415
USD / PLN (4) PLN 4.00 4.01 3.96 4.01 3.96 4.02 3.95 3.90 3.85 3.95 4.09 4.08 3.98
EUR / PLN (4) PLN 4.37 4.33 4.31 4.30 4.28 4.32 4.28 4.29 4.28 4.31 4.33 4.27 4.31
Macroeconomic data – average: 2024 unit 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY
Brent crude oil price USD/bbl 83.2 85.0 80.3 74.7 80.8
Model refining margin (1)

USD/bbl

16.0 12.6 7.7 7.7 11.0
Differential (2)

USD/bbl

0.1 -1.0 -1.1 0.8 -0.2
Model petrochemical margin (3) EUR/t 209 244 200 137 197
Natural gas price TTF month-ahead PLN/MWh 119 137 153 187 149
Natural gas price TGEgasDA PLN/MWh 142 152 172 212 170
Electricity price TGeBase PLN/MWh 355 397 435 473 415
USD / PLN (4) PLN 3.99 4.00 3.90 4.04 3.98
EUR / PLN (4) PLN 4.33 4.30 4.28 4.31 4.31

(1) Model refining margin = revenues (33% Gasoline + 48% Diesel + 13% HHO) – costs (98% Brent crude oil + 2% Natural gas). Spot quotations.

(2) Differential calculated on the real share of processed crude oils. Spot quotations. 

(3) Model petrochemical margin = revenues (25% HDPE [Spot] + 16% PP Homo [Spot] + 9% Ethylene [contract] + 7% Toluene [contract] +14% Benzene [contract]) – costs (75% Naphtha + 13% HHO + 13% LPG [Spot]) - 6% CO2 costs [EUA]

(4) Average foreign exchange rates according to the National Bank of Poland.